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The Referee's Notes. 5 min read

The eight numbers your media team owes you every Monday

Eighty dials hide the answer. Eight numbers, each with a threshold and an owner, give you control.

Shashidhar Sharma
Shashidhar SharmaCofounder and Chief Operating Officer, AdNexa.ai. 16+ years in media.

Your car has a fuel gauge, a speedometer and a few warning lights. It does not have eighty dials. Nobody would drive it if it did.

Most media dashboards have eighty dials. That is why the Monday meeting so often ends with somebody opening a spreadsheet to answer the only question that mattered: are we on plan?

After sixteen years of Monday meetings, on the Product & the agency side, in India, New Zealand and also having managed global clientele while working on DV360, I have settled on eight numbers. They are not clever. Each one has a threshold and an owner. If you have these eight on one page, you have control. If you have eighty, you have a screensaver.

Peak season makes this urgent. Your fourth quarter may be Diwali, Black Friday, Singles' Day or Christmas. Either way, budgets now move week to week based on what the team sees. Dentsu India expects festive spend there to grow 15 to 20% this year. WPP Media is more careful at 9 to 10% (based on reporting and inputs from 21 September 2026). Everywhere else the pattern is the same: less locked upfront, more decided on Monday. If Monday's numbers are wrong, the money moves the wrong way.

The eight

  1. Distance from plan. Not how much you spent. How far delivery sits from the plan you signed. One rule: 10% or more behind plan on any main number is Critical. Between 0 and 10% behind, keep an eye on it. Ahead of plan gets a look too, because early spend is not always smart spend. The 10% line removes debate. Nobody argues about whether 13% behind is "a bit slow".

  2. Plan versus delivered on the one metric the business cares about. Sales, leads, installs, store visits, whatever the brief said. In the client's own units, before anything else on the page. CPM and CTR tell you why something happened. They do not tell you whether it happened. I have watched teams celebrate a 40% drop in CPM in the same week the cost per lead went up.

  3. Tracking uptime. Hours in the last 168 that your conversion tag actually fired. Most teams cannot answer this. They find out when a campaign "crashes" and someone cuts a budget that was working fine.

  4. Frequency as a spread, not an average. An average of 6 can hide 15% of households that saw the ad 30 times or more. EDO found exactly that inside real streaming campaigns in 2026 and put the recoverable waste at 24 to 38% of budget. Ask for the buckets, not the mean.

  5. Share of spend in supply you can name. What share of the money went to an app, site or seller your team can identify from the bid request? Pixalate reported 43% of connected TV bundle IDs were malformed, unidentified or fraudulent. If you cannot name the seller, you cannot defend the spend.

  6. The fatigue-or-saturation flag. CTR falling with stable frequency and fresh reach means tired creative. CTR falling while frequency climbs and reach has stalled means a saturated audience. Same symptom, opposite fix. The report should say which one you have, per ad group.

  7. What changed, and did it work. Every change made last week in one list: bid, budget, audience, creative. Next to each, the before and after on the metric that matters. "We optimised" is not an entry. This is the number teams like least because it keeps score on the team. It is also the only one that tells you whether the optimisation is worth paying for.

  8. Open Criticals. How many were open at the start of last week, how many closed, how many still open. A rising count means the team is drowning. A count that never moves means nobody is looking.

Behind plan has one meaning: 10% or more under what you committed to020406080100 Day 9: 13% behind plan. Critical. Inside the 10% band: keep an eye on it. Plan you committed to Delivered Day of the flight
Illustrative flight. Critical means a key number running 10% or more behind the client's own plan.

The workaround if your tools do not do this

You do not need new software to start. You need eight cells in a spreadsheet and one person who owns filling them before 9am on Monday. Numbers 1, 2, 7 and 8 come from the plan and the platform change history (Google Ads, Meta and DV360 all export it). Number 3 comes from your tag manager's hit count or your server logs. Number 4 is a frequency-distribution report. DV360 has one, and most DSPs will give it to you if you ask. Number 5 takes the top 20 sellers from your log-level data against their app-ads.txt files. Number 6 is three columns, CTR, frequency and reach, by week.

It will take one person about two hours the first week and thirty minutes after that. That is the cheapest control system you will ever build.

Why the simple version works

People complicate this because complicated looks like expertise. Eighty dials, five attribution models, a slide with a glowing brain. But the client's question has not changed in sixteen years. Is my money working, and if not, what are we doing about it this week? Eight numbers answer it. Eighty numbers hide it.

At AdNexa this is what our daily checks roll up to. We run 84 of them on every live campaign across the 15 platforms we connect to, and on Monday morning they become these eight, with a threshold and a name against each. If you want to see what your own campaigns look like through them, we run that on your data under NDA, and we bill only when we project a spend-efficiency gain of 15% or more. Otherwise there is no charge.

The takeaway: pick your eight, put a threshold on each, and give every one an owner. Everything else on the dashboard is decoration.

Further reading

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